Oracles and Science: The Trouble with Predictions

We all want to know the future, but what is the best way to predict what will happen? Assuming we don’t have a crystal ball or a time machine, we have to find patterns in the available information and use that make our best, informed guess. This is what scientists do. There is a spectrum …Continue reading “Oracles and Science: The Trouble with Predictions”

Accuracy vs Precision

Scientists often measure and predict things. Therefore, we need ways to describe how much we know, how close a number is to reality, and how likely we are to get the same number again. The terms accuracy and precision are generally used to describe these things, but there can be some ambiguity. This post explains …Continue reading “Accuracy vs Precision”